Monthly Archives: October 2024

HCL Tech Reports 10.5% YoY Rise in Net Profit to Rs 4,235 Cr for Q2 FY25

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Global technology firm HCLTech on Monday announced a 10.5% year-on-year (YoY) rise in net profit, reaching Rs 4,235 crore for the July-September quarter of FY25. However, on a quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) basis, the net profit dipped slightly by 0.5%.

The company’s revenue from operations surged to Rs 28,862 crore, marking an 8.2% increase compared to the same period last year, according to a company statement. HCLTech’s earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) margin rose by 149 basis points sequentially, standing at 18.6%.

C Vijayakumar, CEO and Managing Director of HCLTech, said the company delivered a strong quarter with revenue growth of 1.6% QoQ in constant currency terms, while the EBIT margin reached 18.6%. “This growth was well-distributed across verticals, geographies, and offerings. HCL Software has shown exceptional performance with a 9.4% YoY growth this quarter and a 6.4% rise in the first half of FY25 in constant currency, highlighting the increasing relevance of our products in the digital economy,” Vijayakumar noted.

The company declared a dividend of Rs 12 per share, marking the 87th consecutive quarter of dividend payouts.

Workforce Expansion

HCLTech’s workforce has grown to 218,621 employees, with the addition of 780 workers in Q2, along with 2,932 freshers. For FY25, the company expects revenue growth between 3.5% and 5.0% YoY in constant currency.

Chief Financial Officer Shiv Walia highlighted the company’s robust financial performance, with constant currency revenue growth at an industry-leading 6.2% YoY.

Looking ahead, Vijayakumar expressed optimism about the company’s pipeline, particularly in areas like data and AI, digital engineering, SAP migration, and efficiency-focused programs. “Our GenAI offerings, such as AI Force and AI Foundry, are resonating well with clients and are poised to drive efficiency, growth, and innovation in the medium term,” he added.

Ola Electric Shares Drop 3% to Rs.87.44 Amid Pricing Investigation and Regulatory Scrutiny

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Shares of Ola Electric fell nearly 3% on Monday, marking the third straight session of decline, as the company faces scrutiny over its pricing practices. The Automotive Research Association of India (ARAI), under the Ministry of Heavy Industries, has asked the electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer to clarify recent price cuts on its S1 X 2 kWh electric scooter during a promotional sale.

Ola Electric’s stock closed at Rs 87.44 per share, continuing its decline from an all-time high of Rs 157.40. If the company fails to provide a satisfactory explanation to the ARAI, it could face legal action and may lose access to subsidies offered under the government’s PM Electric DRIVE Revolution in Innovative Vehicle Enhancement (PM E-DRIVE) scheme.

Reports suggest that if pricing violations are discovered, Ola Electric could face penalties in line with E-DRIVE guidelines. The probe adds to the growing list of regulatory challenges facing Bhavish Aggarwal’s EV firm.

Growing Consumer Complaints

In addition to the ARAI inquiry, Ola Electric has been hit with a notice from the Central Consumer Protection Authority (CCPA). The notice follows over 10,000 complaints filed with the National Consumer Helpline (NCH) over the past year, mostly related to poor after-sales service.

Ola Electric has been given 15 days to respond to the CCPA’s show-cause notice. The complaints range from unresolved technical issues to delays in refunds and subpar customer support.

The government has also directed Ola Electric to implement better consumer protections for its ride-hailing services, including offering customers the option to choose their preferred refund method and ensuring that proper invoices are provided for all auto rides booked through its platform. Since the beginning of 2024, over 2,000 complaints have been registered against Ola’s ride-hailing service, many citing discrepancies between the fare shown at booking and the amount charged.

The ongoing investigations and consumer complaints highlight the challenges Ola Electric faces in maintaining customer trust and complying with regulatory standards. As Ola continues to expand its EV portfolio, addressing these issues will be crucial for restoring investor confidence and ensuring long-term growth.

Nobel Economics Prize 2024 Goes to Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, and James A. Robinson [Details]

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The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announced today that Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, and James A. Robinson have been awarded the 2024 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. The prestigious prize recognizes their significant contributions to understanding how institutions are formed and their impact on national prosperity.

This year’s award marks the final Nobel Prize to be announced, concluding the 2024 Nobel Prize season. The economics prize, established in 1968 as a memorial award, acknowledges outstanding contributions to the field of economics.

Three Winners

  • Daron Acemoglu: Born in 1967 in Istanbul, Turkey, Acemoglu earned his Ph.D. from the London School of Economics in 1992. He is currently a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in Cambridge, USA.
  • Simon Johnson: Johnson was born in 1963 in Sheffield, UK, and completed his Ph.D. at MIT in 1989. He is also a professor at MIT.
  • James A. Robinson: Born in 1960, Robinson received his Ph.D. from Yale University in 1993 and is now a professor at the University of Chicago, Illinois, USA.

The award-winning research of Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson explores the relationship between institutions and prosperity across nations, shedding light on how the design and governance of institutions can influence economic outcomes.

The economics prize has a rich history, including recognition of influential figures such as Milton Friedman, who won in 1976 for his groundbreaking work in consumption analysis and monetary theory. Friedman was a strong advocate for free markets, and his ideas significantly influenced economic policy in the UK and the US. The Nobel committee continues to reflect on the impact of economics on society and the importance of institutions in shaping the global economic landscape.

With 25 Deals at $1.3 Bln, India Records Historic High in Real Estate in July-Sept 2024

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India’s real estate sector achieved an unprecedented milestone in the July-September quarter (Q3), with 25 deals valued at $1.3 billion, according to a report by Grant Thornton Bharat released on Monday. This marks the highest number of deals ever recorded in the sector and the second-highest total value since Q2 2023.

The surge in deal values was primarily driven by activities related to qualified institutional placements (QIPs), as well as private equity funding in both residential and commercial segments, including real estate technology firms.

While Q3 experienced a 71% drop in overall private equity (PE) and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) deal values compared to Q2 2024, deal volume saw a slight increase of 5%. Year-over-year comparisons indicate a 54% rise in deal volumes, although values declined by 41% compared to Q3 2023.

During this quarter, there were three inbound deals in property development and two outbound deals in the student housing and online rental platform sectors. PE activity remained robust, with 12 deals totaling $401 million, maintaining consistent volume with Q2 2024. Notably, the two largest deals accounted for $346 million, reflecting a trend of concentrated value in fewer transactions.

Despite the decline in funding values from Q2 2024, Q3 2024’s deal values surpassed those recorded in both Q1 2024 and Q3 2023. Additionally, one initial public offering (IPO) raised $49 million, in line with previous quarters, while QIPs experienced a remarkable surge with four deals amounting to $940 million—a nearly six-fold increase compared to Q2 2024.

The strong QIP activity underscores a growing confidence in real estate firms’ ability to tap into public markets. The report suggests that renewed PE and M&A activity toward the end of Q3 could signal an uptick in momentum heading into Q4 2024.

India’s Wholesale Price Inflation Rises to 1.84% in September

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India’s wholesale price inflation (WPI) climbed to 1.84% in September, driven primarily by rising prices of food articles and select manufacturing sectors, according to government data released on Monday.

The inflation rate in September marked an increase from 1.31% in August and 2.04% in July. The month-over-month change in the WPI index was a modest 0.06% compared to August.

The rise in WPI was largely fueled by higher prices of food articles, food products, motor vehicles, machinery, and equipment. The WPI for primary articles rose by 0.41%, reaching 195.7 in September, up from 194.9 in August. Notable increases were observed in the prices of minerals (1.83%), non-food articles (1.31%), and food articles (0.86%).

Conversely, the prices of crude petroleum and natural gas fell by 5.74% in September compared to the previous month. The fuel and power index declined by 0.81% to 146.9 in September, despite a 1.34% rise in electricity prices. The price of mineral oils dropped by 1.72%, while the coal index remained steady at 135.6.

In the manufacturing sector, the index for manufactured products increased by 0.14% to 141.8 in September. Key groups contributing to this rise included the manufacture of food products, non-metallic mineral products, and electronic goods, while the prices of basic metals, textiles, motor vehicles, and chemical products saw declines.

The WPI food index, which tracks prices of both food articles and manufactured food products, rose from 193.2 in August to 195.3 in September. The annual inflation rate based on the WPI Food Index surged to 9.47% in September, up sharply from 3.26% in August.

The Wholesale Price Index measures price changes in goods traded in bulk by wholesale businesses with other companies.

RBI Governor Warns of ‘Systemic Risks’ from AI in Banking Sector

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The increasing use of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the global financial sector could pose significant risks to financial stability if not properly managed, according to Shaktikanta Das, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Speaking at an event in New Delhi on Monday, Das emphasized the need for banks to adopt strong risk mitigation practices as they integrate AI into their operations.

Das highlighted that the financial sector’s growing reliance on AI could lead to concentration risks, particularly if a few technology providers dominate the market. “The heavy dependence on AI by financial institutions can amplify systemic risks. Failures or disruptions in these AI systems could ripple through the entire financial sector,” he cautioned.

In India, banks and financial service providers are increasingly using AI to enhance customer experience, reduce operational costs, manage risks, and boost growth through applications like chatbots and personalized banking services. However, this growing reliance on AI also introduces new vulnerabilities, including a heightened risk of cyberattacks and data breaches.

Das pointed out another key concern—the “opacity” of AI algorithms. The complexity and lack of transparency in AI systems make it difficult to audit or interpret the decision-making processes behind lending and other financial services. This could lead to unpredictable market outcomes, with potentially severe consequences.

In addition to AI-related risks, Das also raised concerns about the rapid expansion of private credit markets globally. These markets, he noted, are lightly regulated and have not undergone stress testing during a significant economic downturn. The unchecked growth of private credit could pose further risks to financial stability.

As the adoption of AI continues to reshape the financial landscape, Das urged banks and regulators to stay vigilant and ensure that adequate safeguards are in place to prevent systemic disruptions.

Indian Rupee Plunges to Record Low Against U.S. Dollar Amid Global Pressures

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The Indian rupee hit a record low against the U.S. dollar on Monday, driven by persistent demand for the dollar and continued outflows from Indian equities. The rupee dropped to an all-time low of 84.0725 against the U.S. dollar, surpassing the previous low of 84.07 recorded last Friday. This downward trend is attributed to foreign banks’ dollar bids and sustained outflows of over $8 billion from local equities in just 10 sessions.

For over two months, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) tried to keep the rupee stable around the 84 mark. However, the ongoing sell-off by foreign investors and weakness in Asian currencies—exacerbated by disappointment over China’s economic stimulus measures—further pressured the rupee. Asian currencies were down by 0.1% to 0.3%, while the U.S. dollar index hovered near its two-month peak at 103.

Local banks were seen offering dollars, while larger foreign banks dominated the demand. Market analysts predict the rupee to trade between 83.95 and 84.20 in the near term. Amit Pabari, managing director of FX advisory firm CR Forex, pointed out that RBI’s interventions, along with a potential reduction in equity outflows, could provide the rupee some relief and help it recover.

Market Impact and Geopolitical Concerns

Brent crude oil prices—currently at $78 per barrel but up 9% in October—are being closely monitored, as rising tensions in the Middle East could further disrupt global oil supplies and impact the rupee. The Indian stock market also felt the ripple effects, with the BSE Sensex plunging by 564.51 points to 72,835.27 and the NSE Nifty falling 153.35 points to 22,119.15 in early trading. The geopolitical uncertainty triggered broad sell-offs across sectors, affecting investor sentiment.

The situation highlights the importance of sound financial planning and risk management, especially in volatile global markets. Investors are advised to consider profit-booking and exercise caution amid ongoing market corrections.

Last time, in June 2018, the Indian currency hit an all-time closing low of 68.79 against the dollar. However, the current situation presents more serious challenges due to global economic uncertainties, especially regarding oil prices and geopolitical tensions.

After Rs. 1 Lakh Loss Last Week, Indian Markets Brace for Key Inflation Data, Q2 Reports This Week

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Notwithstanding last week’s erosion of Rs.1 lakh in market value, Indian stock markets are expected to navigate a crucial week ahead, with domestic and global economic indicators, especially Israeli-centric moves, taking center stage.

Key drivers for market movements include India’s Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data for September, as well as updates on bank loan and deposit growth. Alongside these domestic cues, Q2 earnings results from major Indian companies and global developments, particularly from the US, China, and Japan, will heavily influence market sentiment.

The Q2 earnings season has officially begun, and several important reports are expected in the coming week. Analysts suggest these results could trigger sector-specific movements as investors digest the performances of companies across various industries.

In addition to corporate earnings, fluctuations in global crude oil prices, movements in the dollar index, and foreign institutional investor (FII) activity are likely to play a role in shaping the market’s trajectory. Over the past week, FIIs offloaded stocks worth Rs 28,000 crore, though domestic institutional investors (DIIs) stepped in with net purchases of over Rs 31,000 crore, providing some support to the market.

The market experienced consolidation last week after a sharp correction from its recent all-time highs in both the Nifty and Sensex. Although the week started with a decline, the indices recovered from lower levels by the end of the week.

Santosh Meena, Head of Research at Swastika Investmart, said that technically, the Nifty index has found near-term support around the 24,750 level. He added, “To regain momentum, the Nifty must surpass resistance levels at 25,330 and 25,500. If it falls below 24,750, further selling pressure could push the index toward 24,440 and 24,100.”

Palka Arora Chopra, Director at Master Capital Services, pointed out that Bank Nifty is trading within a parallel channel and remains above its weekly 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), signaling a positive trend. “Support is seen at 50,600, with potential downside risk toward 50,000 if breached. On the upside, resistance is at 51,700, and a breakout could push the index to 52,200. The market may trade sideways in the near term, with a buy-on-dips strategy likely to be effective,” she noted.

On the macroeconomic front, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) held its key interest rates steady last week, shifting its stance to “neutral.” This shift has raised expectations for possible rate cuts as early as December. The central bank maintained its GDP growth forecast for FY25 at 7.2 percent, while keeping the CPI inflation target unchanged at 4.5 percent.

With a mix of corporate earnings and significant economic data on the horizon, investors will be closely monitoring market signals to gauge the near-term outlook.

Seven Companies Lose Over Rs 1 Lakh Crore in Market Cap Last Week

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The combined market capitalisation of seven out of the top 10 companies declined by Rs 1,22,107 crore over the past week, with Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) and Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) leading the losses.

Between October 7 and 11, Tata Group’s TCS saw its market cap drop by Rs 35,638 crore, settling at Rs 15,01,723 crore. RIL’s market cap fell by Rs 21,351 crore, bringing its valuation down to Rs 18,55,366 crore.

FMCG giant ITC also witnessed a significant decline, with its market cap decreasing by Rs 18,761 crore to Rs 6,10,933 crore. Meanwhile, Hindustan Unilever Limited (HUL) saw a reduction of Rs 16,047 crore in its market valuation, now standing at Rs 6,53,315 crore.

The market capitalisation of Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) dropped by Rs 13,946 crore to Rs 6,00,179 crore, while ICICI Bank’s valuation slipped by Rs 11,363 crore, bringing it to Rs 8,61,696 crore.

HDFC Bank, the largest private sector bank in the country, saw its market cap decrease by Rs 4,998 crore, settling at Rs 12,59,269 crore.

On the other hand, Bharti Airtel’s market cap surged by Rs 26,330 crore to Rs 9,60,435 crore, while Infosys gained Rs 6,913 crore, taking its valuation to Rs 8,03,440 crore. The State Bank of India (SBI) added Rs 3,034 crore, pushing its market cap to Rs 7,13,968 crore.

Last week, the Nifty fell by 50 points, or 0.20 percent, to 24,964, while the Sensex declined by 307 points, or 0.38 percent, closing at 81,381. This marked the second consecutive week of market losses.

Despite the decline, RIL maintained its position as India’s most valuable company, followed by TCS, HDFC Bank, Bharti Airtel, and ICICI Bank.

Market experts predict that the outlook for next week will be influenced by key domestic and global economic data, including India’s WPI and CPI for September, loan and deposit growth figures, Q2 earnings of Indian companies, and updates from the US, China, and Japan.

Breaking News: Baba Siddiqui shot dead in Mumbai

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In a shocking news, NCP (Ajit Pawar) leader from Maharashtra Baba Siidqui known for his annual Iftaar parties for celebrities in Mumbai was shot dead around midnight on Saturday. Currently, an MLC, Siddiqui  was shot dead by three attackers in Mumbai around 9.30 pm at the office of his son, Zeeshan, who is the MLA from Bandra East..

“Mumbai police chief told me two persons have been arrested. One is from UP, other from Haryana. Third assailant is absconding but police are trying to nab him,” chief minister Eknath Shinde told media.

Initial reports said three people fired at Baba Siddique outside his son Zeeshan’s office in Bandra East. Though he was rushed to Mumbai’s Lilawati Hospital immediately, he succumbed to his injuries.

“Two to three rounds were fired. Further probe is underway as teams have rushed to the area,” a police official told PTI. Mumbai police commissioner Vivek Phansalkar reportedly said that two alleged shooters have been taken into custody.

One of them is from Uttar Pradesh and the other from Haryana, while a third accused fled from the spot, the CM told TV channels.

“This is an extremely unfortunate incident and I spoke to the doctors and police. Two people have been arrested, the accused are from UP and Haryana. The third accused is absconding. We have given instructions to Mumbai Police that strict action should be taken against those who take law and order into their hands…I am sure that Mumbai police will soon arrest the third accused…Strict action will be taken against the accused,” CM Shinde said.

Ziauddin Siddique, widely known as Baba Siddique, was a prominent political figure in Maharashtra. He served as a Member of the Legislative Assembly (MLA) for the Vandre West constituency for three consecutive terms in 1999, 2004, and 2009. During his tenure, Siddique also held the position of Minister of State for Food & Civil Supplies and Labour under Chief Minister Vilasrao Deshmukh from 2004 to 2008.

Before his role as an MLA, Siddique was a Municipal Corporator, serving two consecutive terms from 1992 to 1997. At the time of his passing, he held key roles as the Chairperson and Senior Vice President of the Mumbai Regional Congress Committee and as a member of the Parliamentary Board of the Maharashtra Pradesh Congress Committee. On February 8, 2024, he resigned from the Indian National Congress (INC) and joined the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) under Ajit Pawar on February 12, 2024.

“I joined the Indian National Congress party as a young teenager, and it has been a significant journey lasting 48 years. Today I resign from the primary membership of the Indian National Congress Party @INCIndia with immediate effect,” he had written in an X post about his decision to join Ajit Pawar.

Siddique’s political journey began in 1977 when, as a teenager, he joined the INC and became involved in student movements through the National Students Union of India (NSUI), the student wing of the INC. He quickly rose through the ranks, becoming General Secretary of the Bandra Taluka Youth Congress in 1980 and its president two years later. In 1988, he was elected president of the Mumbai Youth Congress.

In 1992, Siddique was elected as a Municipal Councilor for the Mumbai Municipal Corporation, securing re-election five years later. His ascent to state politics came in 1999 when he became an MLA from Bandra West, where he served for three terms. He also held the position of Chairman of the MHADA Mumbai Board from 2000 to 2004. Beyond his legislative work, Siddique contributed to his community by funding the creation of an eco-garden in Bandra-Khar in 2011.

Baba Siddique was married to Shehzeen Siddique, and together they had two children, Arshia and Zeeshan Siddique.

 

Battle for Fuji Soft Intensifies, Bain Capital Makes Bold $4B Offer to Outbid Rival KKR

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Bain Capital has outbid rival KKR with a $4 billion offer to acquire Fuji Soft, a prominent Japanese software developer, setting the stage for a rare high-stakes showdown between two private equity giants. Bain’s bid, which values Fuji Soft at 9,450 yen per share, surpasses KKR’s offer by approximately 7%, igniting a fierce contest for control of the company.

Bain Capital’s move marks a significant escalation in the competition, as both firms vie for Fuji Soft’s backing. KKR had previously advanced its tender offer at 8,800 yen per share but has now found itself outpaced by Bain’s more aggressive bid. Fuji Soft’s board had earlier recommended that shareholders accept KKR’s offer, making Bain’s path to securing the acquisition more complex.

The shares of Fuji Soft, closing at 9,000 yen on Friday, reflect the heated competition and the significant interest both firms have in the company. Bain Capital, in a statement on Friday, announced its intention to formally launch the offer by the end of October, contingent on gaining Fuji Soft’s approval.

Rare Showdown

This bidding war between Bain and KKR is a rare spectacle in private equity, where two industry titans openly compete for control of a major company. Such high-profile showdowns have been uncommon in the sector, but history offers a few parallels. Notably, the fierce battle between KKR and TPG Capital over TXU Corp., a Texas-based energy company, in 2007 remains one of the most significant private equity face-offs. Another famous contest was KKR’s pursuit of RJR Nabisco in 1988, which ultimately resulted in a $25 billion deal, then the largest leveraged buyout in history.

The Fuji Soft battle, while smaller in scale, carries similar stakes. The company has been the focus of attention due to internal shareholder conflicts, and the involvement of both Bain and KKR has only intensified the spotlight.

Bain’s decision to outbid KKR signals the firm’s strong belief in the company’s potential for future growth and profitability. The competition has underscored Fuji Soft’s appeal as a valuable player in Japan’s tech landscape, and both firms appear willing to go the distance to secure its acquisition.

However, with KKR’s tender offer still endorsed by Fuji Soft’s board, Bain Capital faces a significant challenge in pushing its bid forward. The coming weeks will be pivotal in determining the final outcome of this contest, which could set a precedent for future private equity battles.

 

Odyssey Nears Deal to Acquire Honeywell’s PPE Unit

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Private equity firm Odyssey is reportedly in advanced negotiations to acquire Honeywell’s face mask unit, a potential deal valued at around $1.5 billion. This acquisition marks a strategic move by Odyssey to capitalize on the surging demand for personal protective equipment (PPE), driven by the global pandemic. The deal would be a significant milestone in the PPE industry, as face masks have become an essential commodity worldwide.

The ongoing talks, initially reported by Bloomberg News, suggest Odyssey’s growing interest in expanding its investment portfolio within the PPE sector. Honeywell, a global conglomerate known for its diversified product offerings, including aerospace systems and engineering services, has played a key role in meeting the massive demand for PPE during the COVID-19 crisis.

While the reasons behind Odyssey’s interest in Honeywell’s face mask division remain unspecified, the acquisition is seen as a calculated effort to tap into the lucrative market. The surge in demand for PPE since the pandemic began has transformed the sector, making it an attractive investment opportunity for private equity firms.

PPE Market

If the deal proceeds, it could have broader implications for both companies and the PPE market. Honeywell’s face mask unit, known for its production capacity and established reputation, has been a leader in addressing global PPE needs. Odyssey’s acquisition could further shake up the competitive landscape as private equity firms continue to show interest in PPE-related assets.

This is not the first time a private equity firm has targeted the PPE industry. In 2016, Blackstone acquired a majority stake in Ansell Limited’s industrial and medical gloves business for $600 million, a deal that highlighted the profitability of the sector even before the pandemic. Odyssey’s potential acquisition of Honeywell’s unit could be viewed in a similar light, setting the stage for more deals as the industry continues to expand.

While the deal is still in its negotiation phase, the final terms could evolve as discussions progress. The outcome will not only impact Odyssey’s investment portfolio but also shape Honeywell’s future business strategy. Industry stakeholders are watching closely, as this acquisition could set a benchmark for future investments in the PPE market.

Novo Nordisk Seeks AI Partnerships in India

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Novo Nordisk, the Danish pharmaceutical company known for its popular weight-loss drug Wegovy, is scaling up its operations in India to meet rising global demand. The company plans to double its senior leadership team in India and increase its total workforce by 16%, bringing its headcount to 5,000 by next year. This move underscores India’s growing importance in the global pharmaceutical landscape, offering cost-effective operations and a flourishing ecosystem of AI start-ups.

In a strategic push, Novo Nordisk is partnering with local AI firms to streamline various functions such as document summarization and insight extraction. These collaborations aim to improve efficiency, with AI tools reducing the time required for regulatory submissions from 40 hours to just 40 minutes, according to John Dawber, Novo Nordisk’s managing director for global business services. The company already uses these AI solutions across its global operations.

India has been a key location for Novo Nordisk for 17 years, particularly its Bengaluru operations, which handle vast amounts of data related to drug safety and efficacy. This includes monitoring clinical trials and tracking reports of side effects. Dawber foresees the Bengaluru center becoming a near mirror image of the company’s headquarters in Bagsvaerd, Denmark, within the next three years, playing a pivotal role in research and development.

Novo Nordisk’s expansion aligns with a broader trend of pharmaceutical giants betting big on India. Companies like Sanofi and Bristol Myers Squibb are also increasing their investments in the country, recognizing the potential for AI and digital technologies to enhance drug development.

A Competitive Landscape

The rising global profile of Wegovy, along with its diabetes counterpart Ozempic, has boosted Novo Nordisk’s standing. Half of the company’s global safety assessment work, which includes monitoring drug side effects and submitting reports to health regulators, is already handled by its India-based team. In addition, the team contributes to key processes like safety update reports and risk management plans.

While Novo Nordisk did not disclose the financial details of its expansion or AI partnerships, it confirmed that it is open to further collaborations with Indian start-ups.

As Novo Nordisk and rivals like Eli Lilly race to capture the burgeoning global weight-loss market, which analysts predict could hit $150 billion in the next decade, the company’s Indian operations are set to play a crucial role in driving innovation and maintaining competitiveness.

India’s Ship Recycling Industry To See 10% Growth by 2028: Report

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India’s ship recycling industry is poised for substantial expansion, with an expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% by 2028, positioning it as a key player in the global market. According to a report by CareEdge Ratings, India accounted for 33% of the global gross tonnage (GT) dismantled in 2023, placing it second only to Bangladesh, which handled 46% of global ship dismantling.

The industry is projected to grow to 3.8-4.2 million GT by 2025, up from an estimated 2.3-2.6 million GT in 2024. A major contributor to this growth is India’s robust infrastructure, particularly the Alang-Gujarat facility, one of the world’s largest ship recycling hubs with over 140 recycling yards.

India’s position in the global maritime sector is critical. Alongside Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Turkey, the country dominates more than 90% of global ship recycling activity. While contributions from other nations have been inconsistent, India has remained a steady leader in this field.

Market Insights and Future Potential

According to Sajni Shah, Assistant Director at CareEdge Ratings, several factors suggest a significant increase in ships entering the recycling market from 2025 onwards. These include the cooling-off of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), stabilizing scrap prices, and a rise in obsolete ships. Additionally, countries with advanced infrastructure and green recycling capabilities are expected to capture a larger share of the global market in the future.

Despite the promising outlook, the industry faces challenges, particularly with fluctuating scrap prices. Prices for heavy melting scrap in Bhavnagar surged from Rs 28,800 per tonne in August 2020 to Rs 54,400 in April 2022, driven by supply chain disruptions and increased steel demand post-pandemic. By December 2023, prices had settled at Rs 39,900 per tonne, stabilizing between Rs 36,000 and Rs 44,000 per tonne throughout 2023.

The industry also grapples with safety and regulatory issues. For instance, in Bangladesh, ship recycling is often hazardous, with workers and nearby communities exposed to toxic materials that threaten their health and livelihood. This highlights the urgent need for stricter regulations and improved safety standards across the sector.

India’s ship recycling industry is set for impressive growth in the coming years, bolstered by strong infrastructure and increasing global demand. However, the industry’s long-term success will depend on implementing stringent regulations and ensuring the safety of workers and the environment. A balanced approach that prioritizes both economic development and sustainability will be key to unlocking the full potential of India’s ship recycling sector.

World Bank Lowers Bangladesh’s Growth Forecast Citing Political Instability

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The World Bank has revised Bangladesh’s economic growth projection for the fiscal year 2024-25, lowering it to 4%, down from an earlier estimate of 5.2%. This adjustment comes in response to the political unrest that has shaken the country, creating significant economic and political uncertainty.

In its South Asia Development Update for October 2024, the World Bank emphasized how the political turmoil of July and August has disrupted the nation’s economic performance, directly impacting its gross domestic product (GDP) growth. Supply chain disruptions and investor hesitancy have further contributed to the economic slowdown.

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) also recently cut its growth forecast for Bangladesh, revising it to 5.1% for the current fiscal year. The ADB cited similar concerns, noting that the political unrest over the past few months has created challenges for Bangladesh’s supply chains, adding pressure to its economic outlook.

Bangladesh and the Maldives stand out as the only two South Asian countries where the World Bank has downgraded growth forecasts. This reflects the unique political and economic hurdles facing both nations. Inflationary pressures are also expected to rise, while the broader South Asian region shows more positive economic trends.

Recovery Potential 

Despite these setbacks, the World Bank remains cautiously optimistic about Bangladesh’s long-term economic prospects. The global lender foresees a gradual recovery, underpinned by key reforms in the financial sector, improved business conditions, expanded trade, and greater domestic resource mobilization.

The recent political changes in Bangladesh, including the resignation of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina and the appointment of an interim government following student-led protests in August, have further added to the country’s economic uncertainty. However, the World Bank’s projections for 2025-26 suggest that Bangladesh has the potential to rebound and achieve strong growth in the coming years.

While the near-term outlook for Bangladesh is clouded by political instability, the World Bank believes that with the right reforms, the nation can bounce back. Implementing structural changes in the financial sector, boosting investment, and strengthening domestic industries will be critical to ensuring long-term growth and stability.

 

India’s Employability Up From 33.9% in 2014 to 51.3% in 2024: Skill Development Ministry

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India is experiencing a remarkable transformation in youth employability, with the rate rising from 33.9% in 2014 to 51.3% in 2024, driven by government-led skill development initiatives. As the country with one of the youngest populations in the world, India is harnessing its demographic dividend and positioning itself to become a global skill capital.

Key Government Initiatives

One of the flagship initiatives fueling this growth is the Internship Scheme, which was introduced in the Union Budget 2024-25. This program aims to offer one crore internship opportunities to Indian youth over the next five years, focusing on top 500 companies. These 12-month internships are designed to bridge the gap between academic knowledge and practical industry experience, preparing young Indians for the evolving demands of the workforce.

The pilot phase of this program was launched on October 3, targeting 1.25 lakh internships in the fiscal year 2024-25. Companies participating in the program were selected based on their Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) contributions, and the scheme functions independently of other government skill development programs. A dedicated portal opened for applications on October 12.

Comprehensive Support for Interns

Interns selected for the Scheme receive financial and logistical support throughout their tenure. Each intern is provided a monthly stipend of ₹5,000, with ₹500 contributed by the company’s CSR fund and ₹4,500 transferred directly by the government to the intern’s Aadhaar-linked bank account. Additionally, a one-time grant of ₹6,000 for incidental expenses is provided when the intern joins. The company covers training costs from its CSR funds, ensuring that interns are well-prepared for the workplace.

Interns are also insured under government schemes, with companies having the option to provide additional accidental coverage. This approach ensures that young professionals are financially supported and protected during their internships, promoting a safe and structured learning environment.

Indian Institute of Skills: Preparing for Industry 4.0

In addition to the internship program, the establishment of the Indian Institute of Skills (IIS) represents a significant effort in preparing India’s youth for Industry 4.0. Opened in Mumbai, the IIS offers training in cutting-edge fields such as factory automation, artificial intelligence, digital manufacturing, mechatronics, and data analytics. These programs are designed to develop an industry-ready workforce that is capable of adapting to modern technological advancements.

Both the Internship Scheme and the IIS are part of a larger government strategy to bolster the employability of India’s youth and equip them with the skills necessary for the future workplace.

 

Indian Rupee Hits Historic Low of Rs.84 Per Dollar Amid Crude Oil Surge and Geopolitical Tensions

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The Indian rupee recently reached a historic low, falling by 0.12 to trade at 84.09 against the US dollar. This decline is largely attributed to surging crude oil prices and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The US dollar’s strength, with the dollar index rising from $100.50 to $102.40, has also added pressure on the rupee.

Experts predict that ongoing volatility in the Middle East will keep oil prices elevated, weakening the rupee further in the short term. Brent crude has surged to $78.92 per barrel, up from nearly $69 on September 30, driven by fears of potential supply disruptions due to the conflict.

The rupee’s decline has also been fueled by significant outflows from foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), who sold shares worth ₹55,000 crore in the Indian stock market over the past nine days. Jateen Trivedi of LKP Securities noted that continued foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows have exacerbated the rupee’s weakness, with further declines possible.

Impact on Gold Prices and Global Markets

Gold prices have remained strong, trading above $2,635 on Comex, and increased by over ₹400 to ₹75,750 on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX). Rising jobless claims and persistent inflation, driven by higher crude oil prices, have supported the positive trend.

In India’s national capital, gold prices surged by ₹1,150 to ₹78,500 per 10 grams, driven by fresh buying from jewellers and global market trends. Increased local demand, along with global factors, contributed to the rise.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have also impacted global financial markets. Israeli stocks fell sharply, with the benchmark TA-35 Index dropping 3.1% before a slight recovery. The selloff extended to Egypt, as investors offloaded assets amid rising uncertainty.

Fed Reserve’s Interest Rate Outlook

Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve has signaled confidence in cutting interest rates, with Chairman Jerome Powell suggesting that policy adjustments are likely. The Fed’s move is influenced by inflation nearing its 2% target, leading to expectations of rate cuts designed to stimulate economic growth by lowering borrowing costs.

A reduction in US interest rates could have far-reaching effects on the global economy. A weaker dollar might make US exports more competitive and affect exchange rates globally, potentially encouraging investment in riskier assets and emerging markets. However, lingering global uncertainties or a US economic slowdown could dampen global growth prospects.

2024 Nobel Peace Prize Goes to Japan’s Anti-Nuclear Movement ‘Nihon Hidankyo’

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As global nuclear powers continue modernizing their arsenals and tensions rise over potential use of these devastating weapons, the 2024 Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to Nihon Hidankyo, a Japanese grassroots organization of atomic bomb survivors. The group, comprised of survivors from Hiroshima and Nagasaki, has long advocated for the complete elimination of nuclear weapons.

The Norwegian Nobel Committee, which selects the Peace Prize laureates, praised Nihon Hidankyo for its relentless efforts to promote a world free from nuclear weapons. The committee stated that the organization has effectively demonstrated, through witness testimonies, that nuclear weapons must never be used again.

Nihon Hidankyo’s origins date back to the aftermath of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in August 1945, which killed an estimated 120,000 people instantly and claimed many more lives due to radiation in the following years. In 1956, survivors of the bombings, known as Hibakusha, alongside victims of nuclear tests in the Pacific, formed the Japan Confederation of A- and H-Bomb Sufferers Organisations. This group later became Nihon Hidankyo, the largest and most influential organization representing atomic bomb survivors.

The Nobel Committee emphasized that over the decades, Nihon Hidankyo has played a pivotal role in raising awareness about the catastrophic humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapons. Through personal accounts and active participation in international forums, the Hibakusha have helped establish a global “nuclear taboo,” a moral opposition to the use of nuclear weapons.

In recognizing Nihon Hidankyo’s work, the committee paid tribute to the survivors who, despite their physical and emotional suffering, have chosen to use their experiences to foster peace and disarmament. The organization has sent delegations to the United Nations, participated in peace conferences, and issued countless public appeals to keep nuclear disarmament on the global agenda.

While no nuclear weapon has been used in warfare for nearly 80 years—a fact the committee called “encouraging”—it warned that today the nuclear taboo is under threat. With nuclear powers upgrading their arsenals and new countries seeking to acquire these weapons, the risk of nuclear conflict has reemerged in international discourse.

The committee noted the urgency of this issue as the 80th anniversary of the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombings approaches next year, underscoring the growing dangers posed by modern nuclear weapons, which are far more destructive than those used in 1945.

“The Hibakusha help us comprehend the unimaginable suffering caused by nuclear weapons,” the committee said, adding that Nihon Hidankyo’s work ensures that future generations will continue to carry forward the message of peace and nuclear disarmament.

In honoring Nihon Hidankyo, the Nobel Peace Prize recognizes not only the survivors of Hiroshima and Nagasaki but also their ongoing legacy of advocacy in the global fight for a nuclear-free world.

India’s Forex Reserves Decline Slightly But Stay Above $700 Billion

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India’s foreign exchange reserves remained above $700 billion for the second straight week, according to data from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) released on Friday. As of October 4, the reserves stood at $701.18 billion, marking a decline of $3.71 billion from the previous week.

India’s forex reserves, which are at an all-time high, rank as the fourth-largest globally, following China, Japan, and Switzerland. The reserves had surged by nearly $35 billion over the past seven weeks, demonstrating robust growth.

According to the RBI’s Weekly Statistical Supplement, the decline in reserves was primarily due to a reduction in Foreign Currency Assets (FCAs), which fell by $3.51 billion to $612.6 billion. Gold reserves also dipped slightly by $40 million, bringing them to $65.76 billion. Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) dropped by $123 million to $18.43 billion, while the reserve position in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) saw a marginal decrease of $71 million, standing at $4.3 billion.

Despite geopolitical uncertainties, investor confidence in India’s economic potential remains high. Last week, India’s forex reserves exceeded $700 billion for the first time, reaching $704.89 billion, marking the largest weekly increase since mid-July 2023, with a surge of $12.59 billion.

India has now joined an exclusive group of countries with over $700 billion in reserves, alongside China, Japan, and Switzerland. Foreign inflows into India this year have exceeded $30 billion, underscoring the country’s attractiveness to global investors.

Looking forward, experts predict continued growth in India’s forex reserves, which will further solidify the nation’s economic position on the global stage. A strong forex reserve not only boosts investor confidence but also strengthens India’s ability to attract foreign investments and support domestic trade and industry.

Industry analysts also highlight that the combination of strong forex reserves and a sound monetary policy is providing reassurance to both the business community and international investors, even in the face of global geopolitical challenges.

Sensex Drops 230 Points as Auto and Finance Stocks Weigh on Markets

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Indian equity markets closed lower on Friday, with the Sensex falling by 230 points, or 0.28%, to 81,381, and the Nifty slipping by 34 points, or 0.14%, to 24,964. The decline was primarily driven by a sell-off in financial and auto stocks, alongside weakness in shares of Tata Consultancy Services (TCS).

The banking sector bore the brunt of the downturn, with the Nifty Bank index falling by 358 points, or 0.70%, to 51,172. However, there was some relief in the midcap and smallcap segments. The Nifty Midcap 100 index rose by 276 points, or 0.47%, to 59,212, and the Nifty Smallcap 100 index gained 108 points, or 0.58%, to 19,008.

Sector-wise, IT, pharma, metal, media, energy, infrastructure, commodities, and consumption stocks performed well, while auto, financial services, real estate, private banks, and services were the major laggards.

Among the top gainers in the Sensex pack were HCL Tech, Tech Mahindra, JSW Steel, Hindustan Unilever, Infosys, Titan, Wipro, Sun Pharma, L&T, SBI, Bharti Airtel, and Tata Steel. On the other hand, NTPC, Bajaj Finance, UltraTech Cement, Asian Paints, ITC, HDFC Bank, and TCS were the top losers.

Market experts attributed the sideways movement to a lack of strong triggers that could drive the market decisively. An uptick in the US 10-year bond yield, driven by an unexpected rise in US core inflation, and caution ahead of the earnings season contributed to the cautious sentiment. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions led foreign institutional investors (FIIs) to shift their focus toward more affordable markets, impacting domestic liquidity.

FIIs continued to sell off on October 10, offloading equities worth Rs 4,926 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) extended their buying spree, purchasing shares worth Rs 3,878 crore on the same day.

The markets opened on a negative note earlier in the day, with the Sensex down by 142 points, or 0.17%, to 81,469, and the Nifty down by 36 points, or 0.12%, to 24,960.