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India – Canada ties hit next level of escalation, 6 Canadian diplomats expelled in response

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In a quick response to Canada’s move, India expelled six Canadian diplomats on Monday, just hours after announcing the withdrawal of its High Commissioner and other key officials from Canada. The move comes as relations between the two nations deteriorate, with India citing Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s ongoing “hostility” towards New Delhi.

The Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) issued a statement confirming the expulsion of the diplomats, who have been instructed to leave India by 11:59 p.m. on Saturday, October 19. Among those expelled are Stewart Ross Wheeler, Acting High Commissioner, and several senior officials, including Patrick Hebert, Deputy High Commissioner, and First Secretaries Marie Catherine Joly, Ian Ross David Trites, Adam James Chuipka, and Paula Orjuela.

India’s decision was conveyed to Stewart Wheeler, Canada’s Charge d’Affaires in New Delhi, who was summoned to the MEA. Indian officials condemned what they called the “baseless targeting” of their diplomats in Canada, and expressed deep concern for the safety of Indian representatives amidst what they described as a hostile environment fostered by the Trudeau government.

“The actions of the Trudeau government have created an atmosphere of extremism and violence, jeopardizing the safety of Indian diplomats,” the MEA statement said. “We have lost confidence in the Canadian government’s ability to ensure their security, and thus have made the decision to withdraw our High Commissioner and other targeted officials.”

India’s diplomatic retaliation comes after Ottawa labeled Indian diplomats as “persons of interest” in an ongoing investigation, a claim New Delhi has strongly rejected as “preposterous.” In a strongly-worded response earlier in the day, India accused the Trudeau government of “consciously” allowing extremists and separatists to operate freely in Canada, leading to harassment and intimidation of Indian officials and community leaders.

The MEA also warned that India reserves the right to take further action in response to what it perceives as Canadian support for extremism, violence, and separatism aimed at undermining India’s sovereignty.

The diplomatic rift marks a new low in India-Canada relations, with both countries now recalling high-ranking officials as tensions continue to simmer over issues of security and sovereignty.

World Bank Lowers Bangladesh’s Growth Forecast Citing Political Instability

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The World Bank has revised Bangladesh’s economic growth projection for the fiscal year 2024-25, lowering it to 4%, down from an earlier estimate of 5.2%. This adjustment comes in response to the political unrest that has shaken the country, creating significant economic and political uncertainty.

In its South Asia Development Update for October 2024, the World Bank emphasized how the political turmoil of July and August has disrupted the nation’s economic performance, directly impacting its gross domestic product (GDP) growth. Supply chain disruptions and investor hesitancy have further contributed to the economic slowdown.

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) also recently cut its growth forecast for Bangladesh, revising it to 5.1% for the current fiscal year. The ADB cited similar concerns, noting that the political unrest over the past few months has created challenges for Bangladesh’s supply chains, adding pressure to its economic outlook.

Bangladesh and the Maldives stand out as the only two South Asian countries where the World Bank has downgraded growth forecasts. This reflects the unique political and economic hurdles facing both nations. Inflationary pressures are also expected to rise, while the broader South Asian region shows more positive economic trends.

Recovery Potential 

Despite these setbacks, the World Bank remains cautiously optimistic about Bangladesh’s long-term economic prospects. The global lender foresees a gradual recovery, underpinned by key reforms in the financial sector, improved business conditions, expanded trade, and greater domestic resource mobilization.

The recent political changes in Bangladesh, including the resignation of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina and the appointment of an interim government following student-led protests in August, have further added to the country’s economic uncertainty. However, the World Bank’s projections for 2025-26 suggest that Bangladesh has the potential to rebound and achieve strong growth in the coming years.

While the near-term outlook for Bangladesh is clouded by political instability, the World Bank believes that with the right reforms, the nation can bounce back. Implementing structural changes in the financial sector, boosting investment, and strengthening domestic industries will be critical to ensuring long-term growth and stability.

 

Sensex Drops 230 Points as Auto and Finance Stocks Weigh on Markets

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Indian equity markets closed lower on Friday, with the Sensex falling by 230 points, or 0.28%, to 81,381, and the Nifty slipping by 34 points, or 0.14%, to 24,964. The decline was primarily driven by a sell-off in financial and auto stocks, alongside weakness in shares of Tata Consultancy Services (TCS).

The banking sector bore the brunt of the downturn, with the Nifty Bank index falling by 358 points, or 0.70%, to 51,172. However, there was some relief in the midcap and smallcap segments. The Nifty Midcap 100 index rose by 276 points, or 0.47%, to 59,212, and the Nifty Smallcap 100 index gained 108 points, or 0.58%, to 19,008.

Sector-wise, IT, pharma, metal, media, energy, infrastructure, commodities, and consumption stocks performed well, while auto, financial services, real estate, private banks, and services were the major laggards.

Among the top gainers in the Sensex pack were HCL Tech, Tech Mahindra, JSW Steel, Hindustan Unilever, Infosys, Titan, Wipro, Sun Pharma, L&T, SBI, Bharti Airtel, and Tata Steel. On the other hand, NTPC, Bajaj Finance, UltraTech Cement, Asian Paints, ITC, HDFC Bank, and TCS were the top losers.

Market experts attributed the sideways movement to a lack of strong triggers that could drive the market decisively. An uptick in the US 10-year bond yield, driven by an unexpected rise in US core inflation, and caution ahead of the earnings season contributed to the cautious sentiment. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions led foreign institutional investors (FIIs) to shift their focus toward more affordable markets, impacting domestic liquidity.

FIIs continued to sell off on October 10, offloading equities worth Rs 4,926 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) extended their buying spree, purchasing shares worth Rs 3,878 crore on the same day.

The markets opened on a negative note earlier in the day, with the Sensex down by 142 points, or 0.17%, to 81,469, and the Nifty down by 36 points, or 0.12%, to 24,960.

Sensex plunges by over 1,000 points, heavy sell-off in IT, banking shares

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Equities market was falling sharply on Friday during the afternoon trade due to heavy sell-off in IT, PSU Banks, Auto stocks following weak Asian markets on concerns of global recession, dealers said.

At 2.10 p.m., Sensex was down 1050.03 points or 1.75 per cent at 58,883.98, and Nifty was trading 326.56 points or 1.83 per cent lower at 17,550.85.

Mahindra & Mahindra, Tech Mahindra, Ultratech Cement, TCS, Infosys, Wipro were major losers during the afternoon trade on Sensex.

Mumbai:People walk past the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai / IANS

Nifty IT and BSE IT index were down 2.91 per cent and 2.69 per cent respectively. Nifty PSU Bank index was down 2.79 per cent and BSE Auto was down 3.25 per cent.

“Indian equity markets are witnessing some selling pressure after a long period of resilience. Global cues continuously remain weak as there is a sharp surge in the dollar index and US bond yields post US inflation numbers. We may continue to outperform, but we can’t remain in isolation for a long time. Global markets are looking nervous ahead of the FOMC meeting because there is talk of a 100 basis rate hike while a 75 basis rate hike was already discounted,” said Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd.

Asian markets remained weaker on Friday due to growing fears of a global recession after the warnings by the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.3 per cent. Australian shares were down 0.94 per cent on Friday, while Japan’s Nikkei stock index slipped 1.2 per cent.

Global Recession fears

The world may edge towards the global recession in 2023 as central banks across the world simultaneously hike interest rates to combat persistent inflation, the World Bank said.

The economies of the US, China, and the euro zone, were slowing and a slight hit to the global economy further would lead to recession.

“Technically, Nifty is facing resistance at the 18,100 level and it has slipped below its 20-DMA of 17,700 which may lead to some more selling pressure where 17,470-17,400 is an immediate demand zone then 17,150 is a sacrosanct support level. Bank Nifty is outperforming but yesterday it ended at a day’s low after hitting a fresh all-time high, which is a little disappointing. On the downside, 40,900-40,700 is an immediate demand zone; below this, 40,270 is the next important support level,” Meena added.