Trump’s Surprise Tariff Pause Spares China; India Welcomes Relief

US President Donald Trump has announced a pause on the implementation of most of his reciprocal tariffs. He explained the decision by saying that people were “getting yippy and a little bit afraid.”

The pause lowers tariffs to 10 per cent and applies to imports from all trading partner countries that have not imposed retaliatory levies on American goods. This includes over 75 countries that have opted to negotiate with the administration, such as India, which is currently in talks with the US over a Bilateral Trade Agreement.

However, China stands out as a major exception to this sudden shift. In response to China’s retaliatory levy of 84 per cent on American goods, Trump has increased tariffs on Chinese imports to a staggering 125 per cent. The announcement, made via a post on Truth Social, rattled already-volatile markets. Yet, in a dramatic turnaround, markets surged shortly afterward, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq soaring to a two-decade high.

Trump’s decision to halt most tariffs reportedly caught even his own officials off guard. When asked about the abrupt policy reversal, Trump repeated that people were getting “yippie and a little bit afraid,” adding, “You have to be flexible,” when pressed further.

Trump’s Tariff Reversal and Market Reactions

Despite early declarations from top aides that the levies were non-negotiable, Trump had signaled a willingness to negotiate when first introducing the tariffs. He moved ahead with the pause on Wednesday morning.

Since the reciprocal tariffs went into effect, US markets have been in turmoil. Calls for a 90-day pause have come from key Wall Street voices, including Bill Ackman. Trump has also encountered pushback from key advisor Elon Musk, who criticized the tariffs and engaged in a public spat with Peter Navarro, one of the President’s main trade advisors.

Following the announcement, Asian markets rebounded significantly. Japan’s Nikkei share average surged as investors scooped up battered stocks, echoing gains on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 jumped 9.5%—its biggest daily gain since 2008. Analysts at Morgan Stanley described Trump’s move as bullish for Asian equities, and especially so for Japanese stocks.

EU, China in Talks

Meanwhile, the European Union has called for restraint. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen emphasized the importance of avoiding further escalation in a phone call with Chinese Premier Li Qiang. In response, China expressed confidence in its ability to weather the economic pressure.

In India, markets unsettled by recent tariff news may find relief in the pause. The decision also gives New Delhi a window to finalize its deal with the US and prepare for any future tariff actions. India has not retaliated against Trump’s 26 per cent levy and has remained engaged in negotiations, as have nearly 70 other nations.

The tariff pause has also prompted Goldman Sachs Group economists to retract a recent recession forecast. Initially projecting a 65% chance of a recession within 12 months due to the tariffs, they have since reverted to their earlier baseline prediction of no recession following Trump’s announcement.

Cabinet Approves MoU between India, EU on Water

The Union Cabinet under PM Narendra Modi has given its approval for the signing of MoU between India and European Union in the field of water resources.

The MoU envisages strengthening the technological, scientific and management capabilities of India and the European Union in the field of water management on the basis of equality, reciprocity and mutual benefit. It provides technical exchange on water issues, including on integrated water resource management plans within river basins and through study visits.

The MoU aims to identify key environmental issues and approaches to sustainable development where exchange of experiences and cooperation could be mutually beneficial to strengthen and further develop cooperation between India and the European Union in the field of water management.

The pact envisions a more sustainable management of water resources in India with an objective of tackling the challenges posed by water management in the context of growing population, competing water demands and a changing climate. A Joint Working Group shall be formed to monitor the activities to be carried out in fulfillment of the MoU.

The Ministry of Water Resources, River Development and Ganga Rejuvenation has been envisaging bilateral cooperation with other countries in water resources development and management through sharing of policy and technical expertise, conducting of training courses, workshops, scientific and technical symposia, exchange of experts and study tours.

Keeping in view the success of the European Union in distribution of water resources, water pricing, water use efficiency by encouraging the changes in agricultural practices necessary to protect water resources and quality, such as switching to less water-demanding crops, etc., it has been decided to have an agreement with Israel to benefit from their experience and expertise.

The EU States have adopted water pricing policies to provide adequate incentives for users to use water resources efficiently thereby contributing to environmental objectives.