BJP may lose 50 seats in 2024 Lok Sabha elections: Shashi Tharoor

Senior Congress leader Shashi Tharoor has said that it will be “impossible” for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to replicate its electoral success in the Lok Sabha elections of 2019 in 2024, while speaking at the Kerala Literature Festival in Kozhikode, Kerala.

Tharoor, who is the MP for Thiruvananthapuram, stated that it is “conceivable” that the ruling party could lose up to 50 seats in the Lok Sabha. He acknowledged the BJP’s dominance, but also pointed out that the party has lost many states and that it is not impossible for them to lose the central government as well.

Tharoor argued that the BJP’s results in states like Haryana, Gujarat, Rajasthan, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, and West Bengal in 2019 are impossible to replicate and therefore, the BJP dropping below the majority in 2024 is entirely possible.

“If you look at how well they did in 2019, they have essentially had every seat in Haryana, Gujarat, Rajasthan; or all but one seat in Bihar, MP, Maharashtra; and 18 seats in Bengal. Now, all of those results are impossible to replicate and the BJP dropping below the majority in 2024 is entirely possible,” noted Tharoor during a session titled “India@75: A walk through the Democratic Institutions”, held on Saturday, January 14, 2022.

He also said that the “tremendous wave” created by the Pulwama attacks and the Balakot strike in 2019 was a “freak” event that will not be repeated in 2024.

However, Tharoor also acknowledged that predicting whether the opposition parties, which he believes will be able to unseat the BJP from its majority position, will stay together is “impossible to answer.”

“If the BJP is at 250 and the others are at 290… will those 290 agree or would the BJP be able to pick 20 here and 10 there from parties that want favours from the central government of the day and then form the government. We don’t know,” he stated.